The world around us
From the NYT review of The Best Intentions:
James Campbell of Guardian describes a passage from Philip Gourevitch's book on Rwanda
From the NYT review of The Best Intentions:
James Campbell of Guardian describes a passage from Philip Gourevitch's book on Rwanda
It seems that the city of New Orleans have always had a great situation, but a horrible site. This is apparently common knowledge among those who study hurricanes for a living.
I have read some arguments to the effect that people shouldn't be living in a place like that. I saw this rather interesting map someone has drawn in response.
The shifting rationales for the horrendous quality of governmental response are disgusting. Today's Washington Post says it could be because so many senior officials were on vacation. The absence of local National Guards in the Iraq war theater may had hurt relief efforts too. Newsweek has a more balanced story. There is certainly enough blame to go round.
The guy in charge of Federal Emergency Management Agency was a manager of horse shows in Colorado. He is a political appointee who was apparently let go from there because of supervision failures. (Update: The rest of the gang doesn't look so hot either.)
What were also laid bare were the racial fault lines of America.
It was heartrending, disgusting and completely unnecessary.
A BBC commentator suggests that the US media may have redeemed itself over the past week. I am not so sure. Because Russ Baker is right
As we take stock of the true costs of the failures surrounding Katrina, journalists should note their own role as collaborators. We, too, have been complicit in this.
I certainly do.
Ken Livingstone, The Mayor of London:
That isn’t an ideology, it isn’t even a perverted faith - it is just an indiscriminate attempt at mass murder and we know what the objective is. They seek to divide Londoners. They seek to turn Londoners against each other. I said yesterday to the International Olympic Committee, that the city of London is the greatest in the world, because everybody lives side by side in harmony. Londoners will not be divided by this cowardly attack. They will stand together in solidarity alongside those who have been injured and those who have been bereaved and that is why I’m proud to be the mayor of that city.
Finally, I wish to speak directly to those who came to London today to take life.
I know that you personally do not fear giving up your own life in order to take others - that is why you are so dangerous. But I know you fear that you may fail in your long-term objective to destroy our free society and I can show you why you will fail.
In the days that follow look at our airports, look at our sea ports and look at our railway stations and, even after your cowardly attack, you will see that people from the rest of Britain, people from around the world will arrive in London to become Londoners and to fulfil their dreams and achieve their potential.
They choose to come to London, as so many have come before because they come to be free, they come to live the life they choose, they come to be able to be themselves. They flee you because you tell them how they should live. They don’t want that and nothing you do, however many of us you kill, will stop that flight to our city where freedom is strong and where people can live in harmony with one another. Whatever you do, however many you kill, you will fail.”
Complete text of statement, via TPM
This from an FT news item a few weeks back:
Thanks largely to Mr. Blair’s appointments, there are now about 700 lords and ladies, nearly all appointed ‘life peers’ and thus can not pass on their titles. Critics say the result is an upper chamber packed with political cronies that still lacks political legitimacy.
Mr. Blair has promised to remove the remaining hereditaries during his third term and is expected to reveal plans for the future composition of the Lords soon.
..Once in the Lords, peers who are not government ministers do not receive a salary. They are entitled to $215 for overnight accommodation and a $64 daily attendance allowance.
The costs of buying or renting the ermine robes required on introduction of new peers or at the annual state opening of parliament are borne by the lords and ladies themselves. Hiring one costs £118 a day. To buy a set costs £6985 though peers are known to recoup some of this by renting out their robes to other members.
I became disillusioned with Blair when all the corners that he had cut to drag his country into the Iraq war became known. He sounds more and more like just another glib politician ....
But anyone who could so effectively destroy the peerage system in Britain deserves some respect.
Joi Ito's is a liberal Japanese voice on the net (he is better known as an investor in some of the more interesting Internet technology companies - Technorati, flickr, MovableType etc.) His post on the anti-Japanese protests in China and the remarks that it provoked among his readers are interesting reading. (He also linked to this post about the reaction of Chinese bloggers).
Tyler Cowen has a brilliant summary of some of the commentaries on the weblogs on the American threat of using tariffs to force the Chinese to revalue their currency (even shorter summary - A lousy idea).
Elsewhere, he also expressed the belief (albeit a faith-based one) that sooner or later China is likely invade Taiwan and parsed a dense economic paper that concluded that a wealthier China may not necessarily lead to democratization. So much for the Chinese stock markets .....
I thought this was quite funny. (Via Kingshuk)
The current issue of Newsweek has a fascinating profile of Iraq's Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani. I almost wrote 'scary' to describe the article - but much as I hate to admit this, a Mullah choreographed theocracy is probably not the worst thing that could happen to Iraq at this stage. (via this transcript of an online Q&A with Nordland -the writer of that profile)
It has been such a very long time since I so enjoyed reading a rant
David Cay Johnston is the rock star of tax reporting in USA. He recently wrote a book with a provocative title 'Perfectly Legal: The Covert Campaign to Rig Our Tax System to Benefit the Super Rich--and Cheat Everybody Else'. I havent read it.
But City Pages of Minnesota recently interviewed him:
In ancient Athens there was a flat tax, and when the Athenians had a flat tax, Athens was a tyranny. That’s where we get the word from. When the moral philosophers of Athens reasoned that those people who got the greatest economic benefit from living in Athens had the moral obligation to bear the greatest burden of maintaining the society that made them rich. That is, when they invented taxation based on ability to pay, they also invented democracy."
Good interview - although I should note here that I do not completely share his views and certainly not his opinion of unions.
Harold Meyerson's new column 'A Tale of Two Texans' is the second most e-mailed story in the Washington Post website this morning.
Last saturday LA Times had an understated, but sobering op-ed on the co-option of doctors in military's administration of torture in Guantanamo Bay and Iraq.
I grew up in a social environment that had an abiding respect for the written word and for doctors. I have known about torture by some practioners of medicine in Nazi concentration camps. But I always felt that it was a complete aberration anyway - that most people who go into medicine and practice medicine maintain some fundamental commitments to morality and ethics.
When I read that alongside this Newsweek story on Pentagon's thoughts about putting assassination squads in the middle east, I start questioning my basic assumptions about democratically elected governments of our times (obviously, we are not talking about Kazakhstan here where the president boils his political opponents or about West Africa where torture and cruelty have lost their power to shock).
I dont see any hope at all of things getting any better anytime soon.
NYT has a good story on Europe's angst about 'multiculturalism'. Generally speaking, I think this 'multiculturalism' business is really code for European unease with Islamic fundamentalism. It has lately come to the fore thanks both to the French spectacle over headscarves (Via Amardeep) and the killing of Theo van Gogh.
On the convergence of fear, hypocrisy and fanaticism
a) Last Thursday’s (12/9/2004, A15) Wall Street Journal had a story by John Carreyrou and Ian Johnson on French Muslims:
Although the government denies it, the new measures amount to a sharp break with France’s deeply ingrained tradition of secularism that forbids involvement by the state in religion …France has long wrestled with how to integrate its growing Muslim population, estimated at 5 million to 7 million people among a population of 60 million. This fall it enacted a law that prohibits wearing religious symbols in public schools- a measure promoted as a broad ban, but that was conceived to keep Muslim girls from wearing headscarves. The state justified the ban by invoking the same secular tradition that it is now subverting, some French Muslim leaders argue.
Further muddling the government’s justification is the fact that France’s church-state separation is hardly absolute: The government and municipalities own-and are responsible for maintaining-Catholic churched built before a 1905 statute erected a wall between the religious and secular sphere.
The new measures are the latest expression of a government campaign to promote a “French Islam” that is in harmony with France’s republican ideals and devoid of foreign theological influences. France is increasingly worried that poorly trained, mostly foreign imams who preach in mosques and prayer room across the country are spreading a radical brand of Island that can lead to terrorism and alienation from the French society. This year, it deported eight imams on the ground that they were fomenting anti-Western sentiment and violence with their sermons
..In Germany, senior politicians have called for imams to preach only in German, a demand that was amplified after a television crew filmed a Turkish-speaking imam at a Berlin mosque declaring Germans to be malodorous and unkempt infidels destined to burn in hell. The German state has set up a university-level program in Islamic theology meant to train imams”
b) Also last week, David Brooks educated the long suffering readers of New York Times Times about ‘Natalism’. In that article, he introduced us to one Steve Sailer:
Garance Franke-Ruta deconstructed the Steve Sailer reference in this post. In a follow up post, he gave a a closer look to the data presented by Brooks. (If you are a David Brooks watcher, here is a Mathew Yglesias post on another Brooks column)
c) Via Amardeep, I found this article in Times .It explains a New Line’s decision to remove references to church in an upcoming screen adaptation of Philip Pullman’s ‘His Dark Materials’.
'His Dark Materials' is (apparently) a trilogy about two kids fighting the church.
Amardeep notes:
d) In Locana, Anand remembered a day in India in Dec, 1992:
I find it interesting that this time the White House could not find anyone of stature on wall street willing to sell his dignity to add his name to the footnotes of history.
Both Josh Marshall and Marshall Whittman have comments worth reading.
Across the ocean, Guardian tried to be funny.
What a mess ....
I am terrible with predictions (I too expected a narrow Kerry victory). But since that has never stopped me, here is what I see as the major fallouts in immediate future of the Bush win this morning:
1) Iraq is of course going to remain a disaster. I dont see any country coming up with the additional troops necessary to give the US troops the breathing room needed to do a good job. Bush will either have to add new divisions to the existent army (unlikely) or institute a draft (also unlikely) to be able to do this with any probability of success. Even if US decides to add new divisions, the necessary approval process, recruitments and trainings will probably takes months, if not years.
This administration is likely to choose the domestically painless option of letting Iraq get Beirutized. The only remaining hope is that Allawi will prove to be a capable thug and keep Iraq relatively bottled up.
2)The $ - With the deficit as big as it is, I suspect that only the belief that the second term would be the belt tightening term has not led to a serious slide so far (and obviously thanks to the the East Asian central banks too). I find this administration fiscally reckless. The market has been brooding over that for some time now. Barring serious intervention from the European central banks, I see $ sliding against the Euro for some time.
3) Scandals - Investigative reporters will be kept busy. All the scandals that the government was struggling to keep under wraps over the last few months - the theivary in Iraq, the espionage scandals in Doug Faith's shop in the ministry of defence et al - will start leaking out. There is also no incentive to do dicey stuff to hide them any longer. The memory of these scandals will fade in 4 years.
4) Big media - The White House is gonna be brutal on the national press corp to get them to toe the line. The broadcast media will make some further moves to court the right leaning audience, but there is no chance that they would be loved back by the Fox audience.
4) Supreme court - This is the big prize. With two to three justices expected to retire over the next few years, this election will likely yield the most conservative Supreme court in a very long time. Bush is gonna get the opportunity to shape the direction of the court for the next 20 to 30 years.
6) Education - I dont know a great deal about the subject and probably should keep my mouth shut. But I do think that Bush genuinely wanted to do something constructive. I think his instincts were right, although his executions have been disastrous (like everywhere else). The empirical data from the Texas schools on which some of his policy prescriptions rested now appear tainted. Get ready for act two.
7) More Tax cuts
8) Health care - Fucked
9) Economy: - I think the over all shape of the economy is going continue to get better (so long as you dont mind the dollar bleeding) even though it is not going make us ecstatic
10) Stem cell researchers: California will pick up the best minds among those who are not moving to Europe
Daniel Drezner looks at the positive side.
I am going to try very hard to write as little as possible about US politics. Let this be a rare outburst!
Like many others, I too have followed the presidential debates and found Kerry's responses (largely) more substantive and more consistent . More importantly, Kerry's assertions in the debate, even when they were wrong, were largely in the exeggerations category. Bush's or Cheney's assertions, when they were wrong, were often in the 'lies' category and they were more frequent.
Media's narrative often failed to make this qualitative difference in the responses by the candidates or by the respective campaigns. This is not because the media is evil, but simply because mainstream media is not equipped to deal with outright distortions or disengeneuousnesses in a way that common men with their incredibly crowded lives can process quickly or easily (ie except for the political news junky population).
Television spcially, has killed nuances from public discourse. Initially, when TV popped up as a significant player in the media landscape, it tripped politicians (e.g. Nixon's disastrous TV appearances). But spinmeisters learnt fast and in the intervening decades have mostly succeeded in coopting the broadcast media.
The other sociological change has probably happened in the psychographics of mediamen. From what I read, the earlier generation of pressmen were not very well-paid (except for Time-Life and a few notable exceptions) and people could still bootstrap themselves into the newsroom through a route that often included the mail room and night schools. Today, increasing media consolidation and attractive pay in national media (specially in TV) has ensured that you need a good college education and certain degree of sophistication upfront. It has become an atractive career option (and as it should be). This has ensured that there is now a certain degree of similarity in the psychographics of the spinner and the spinned. A socially adversarial relationship doesnt exist anymore (And let me be clear that I am not mourning that at all. But it just happens to be another check that doesn't exist anymore.)
Thirdly, the straight media simply has not figured out how to deal with outlets like Fox. Mike Doogan, A letter writer in Romanesko's had it right:
"The problem is that Fox News and the Washington Times are not a balance for the New York Times and ABC News. The latter two are journalistic organizations; the former are propaganda outlets. It's confusing to a lot of people, because Fox looks like a news channel and the Washington Times looks like a newspaper.
But the truth is that journalism is a process, not a product. A journalist attempts to collect, as even handedly as possible, as many facts as possible, and to fashion them into a narrative that readers and viewers can understand. A propagandist uses facts selectively, in an attempt to convince readers and viewers of the truth of a pre-determined position."
The emergence of outlets like the Fox seems to have stupefied the press and have forced the advertisement dependent cable outlets like CNN and MSNBC to gradually move rightward over the last few years in a desperate attempt to hold on to their audience.
Lastly, a general media and campaign fascination with gotcha moments (and this really is the true gift of television - a penchant for theater) ensured that both candidates were afraid of even trying to give honest, complex answers. Most of the time, the candidates were more intent on getting their talking points across than actually debating each other. This message discipline' brought down the significance and the interestingness of the debate. I dont blame the candidates for this. Anyone who tries for an honest debate will get destroyed in the current environment.
It was left to John Stewart, the comic genius of America, to bring to the fore media's complicity in perpetuating spin in the US national discourse. In a widely downloaded and commented upon TV interview in Crossfire, Stewart savaged the crosstalk duo for their participation in a make-believe that "hurts America". It needs to be said that Stewart himself is no longer a subversive comedian on the margins of mainstream consciousness. His every utterence is now widely reported and dissected. As Slate noted he won't be able to get away with his 'I am only a comedian' act for very long.
But it is still highly amusing that it took the 'court jester' to announce on primetime television that the emperor has no clothes. I wonder wheather CNN will ever call Stewart back again.
I disagree with Prashant about the election in USA. I think Paul Glastris closer to the truth; the current US election campaign is a story of Homeric proportions:
Watching the whole sorry episode of swift boats slowly explode over the airwaves over the last few weeks and then engulf the USA presidential campaign was a surreal experience.
Looking at John Kerry today, it is obvious that the man who made this speech in 1970 (you have to scroll down to the "statement of John Kerry" or see here) is not the man who is standing for election today; although I like to believe that some of that idealism has survived 35 years of politicking, however faded it might be.
I can understand that many Americans may not agree with my judgement there (just try convincing passengers in any bus or train in Uttar Pradesh that not all Jawans may had acted honourably during their missions in Punjab or Kashmir. The unique blinkers that fervent nationalism provides you with are more pronounced in USA) Indian mythologies are in the past, Americans mythologize their present. So I can understand that many Americans are still pissed at the stance that Kerry took after coming back from war. But the fact that a group of people can rewrite what actually happened and can get away with it was something that I did not think possible; that it is considered standard operating procedure speaks volumes about the vulnerabilities of the electronic media and how pressure groups can exploit them.
Somehow, I can't help thinking about Adam Cohen's op-ed on Thoreau in NYT today.
Timothy Noah has an interesting story in Slate today on Ostracizing the people who were right on Iraq; It would have been funny if it did not involve so many dead, maimed or otherwise destroyed people.
What can I say? I lived there for quite some time; I love the place. I have some very happy memories there. And now they have elected a serial sexual predator with some very disturbing personality traits to run the state.
A few years back I had attended an e-commerce presentation by a dour banker from Minnesota. He was wearing a pinstriped suit during summer in San Jose. He started off with the announcement, “Yes, Jesse Ventura is the governor of Minnesota. Yes, I know that he was a WWF wrestler. And no, unlike what you may think, not all of us voted for him. And I would not like to discuss this during the Q&A session”. I wonder what would my Californian friends who now do ….
Gray Davis was no one's idea of a brilliant statesman. He was an uninspiring, run off the mill politician who had hidden the gigantic budget deficit from the electorate; Kind of what Gov. Pataki did in New York. But The Terminator is not an improvement. Schwarzenegger had spent the last two months studiously avoiding answering any policy questions. I suspect that he would be like Bush, hostage to a trusted coterie of advisers.
John Scalzi has a wonderful diatribe on his weblog.
NYT’s skeptical editorial was also good.
Josh Marshall is on a roll. He has the best follow throughs on at least two different stories that have the potential to influence the political dynamics of this country. If he is not on your bookmarks yet, take a look.
The world's smallest political quiz says that I am a centrist.
A quiz that I took last year said that I am a borderline-left libertarian (left-right -0.50, Authoritarian/Libertarian: -3.79). Unfortunately, I can no longer find that quiz online. It was rather interesting.
I recently read Dr. Arnold Kling's rejoinder to Kristol's neo- conservative agenda and Brink Lindsey's slightly older post on his libertarian worldview (via Prashant Kothari).
Both are polished, seductive arguments. But the trouble with manifestos is that it glosses over details that do not fit the ideological boundaries. The real life is messy and full of compromises. Also, people have a way of subverting good intentions of any kind. Just like conservatism is not about racial prejudice, but it has ended up as a subculture under the republican umbrella or endemic corruption is not expected to be a part of socialism, but that it what it created everywhere; I am afraid, oligopolies that may result from a lbertarian free rein will lead to its own kind of excesses.
However, if I have to set markers, I would say that I have a lot more sympathy for the libertarian agenda (as opposed to the party bearing that name) than I do for neoconservatism. The trouble specifically with libertarian ideology is that it does not provide for any exception for stuff like, say, education. Education, to me, is the great equalizer. And only big government can administer a secular education for the poor. Libertarianism also does not make any allowance either for the greed or the foolishness which is inherent in people.
I am not advocating socialism here. In India, I saw the damages that socialism can do to a country. I am a free marketeer who has acquired over the last few years a large dose of respect for the idea of strong market regulations and of regulatory bodies . I am still working my way to a viable political philosophy. But I do find certain tenets of libertarianism appealing.
I really am through talking about Iraq; at least for the foreseeable future. But I want to point you to this interesting post about the 'not so hidden agenda' in Iraq by Edward Hughes. He quoted from a fascinating document (In MSWord) that Barry Ritholtz wrote for his clients BEFORE the Iraq war started. Barry incidentally has a cool economics /market weblog that is definitely worth checking out.
Edward also speculated about the Iraq war in a post two days back in which he quoted Elliot Otti. Otti articulated much better what I now feel about the subject.
The vision of Iraq as a shining beacon of democracy and prosperity in the Middle East is likely to remain just that, an illusion. I think Juan Cole nailed it when he said that the best scenario that can be reasonably hoped for is if Iraq turns out similar to the way India is now: corrupt, inefficient, flawed, but reasonably democratic, reasonably multicultural, and reasonably peaceful.
This is the best case scenario, and it's going to take between half a trillion to a trillion dollars to achieve it, an amount that the US taxpayer is largely going to have to bankroll alone. Given that this was not a deal they signed up knowingly for, unlike the West Germans, how much will they collectively stomach? How deep will they reach into their wallets before they say "Enough is enough", and vote in a new administration on a platform of withdrawal from Iraq? And what happens to Iraq in such a case? (My guess: look at Iran).
It's easy to dismiss such concerns .... Unfortunately, liberation does not always bring a better future with it. Forty years after liberation from the British, oil-rich Nigeria has suffered a terrible civil war, numerous lesser insurgencies, decades of brutal military dictatorships, a few years of corrupt civilian governments, and the end result is that, sad as it may be, the standard of living of the average Nigerian is now lower than it was at independence. The collapse of the Soviet Union led not to prosperity in Russia, but the exchange of crony socialism for the worst kind of crony capitalism, and a drastic decline in living standards for Russians not fortunate enough to be part of the incrowd when the looting of State-held institutions commenced under Yeltsin.
I think there may be some light at the end of the tunnel. The shocking death yesterday of the UN envoy in Iraq demonstrates that Iraq is in danger of becoming a magnet for all sorts of loonies. It is actually in the interest of the international community now to clean up the mess that US is creating in Iraq. I suspect that the other western countries may now figure out some face saving way of entering the fray in Iraq. That may not make Iraq a 'shining beacon of democracy', but anything would be better than this.
The WMD justification for war has been unravelling for some time now. The carefully worded, meticulously researched article by Barton Gellman and Walter Pincus in Washington Post has destroyed whatever credibility that the US government’s original case for war had.
It is beginning to dawn on me that politics as it is practiced in the Western world is not very different from the way politics is practiced back home in India. The sleaze touches almost everyone. The politicos in US run a way more sophisticated operation, though if you dig deep as you make your way down south, you are bound to feel queasy.
I was not especially bothered about the disintegrating case for war on this side of the Atlantic. I don’t think truthfulness is this US government’s strong point. I also felt (and still feel) that the overthrow of Saddam was a good thing anyway. But what followed seems to be worse. I also had a soft corner for Blair. I believed that his support for war was based on his conviction and that the sleaze did not reach 10, Downing Street. It was of course my political naiveté.
The Hutton enquiry is giving tantalizing glimpses of the British government’s decision-making process (A more accessible Guardian coverage here). You see the footprints of Blair’s staff all over the place. That is what is so fucking sad. It is unquestionable that Gillian did a sloppy job of reporting the events. His credibility may never recover. BBC did not exactly cover itself in glory. It is now becoming evident that Alastair Campbell did not force anyone to insert the 45 minute claim into the dossier. But the crux of the BBC story was essentially correct; that the British government let questionable intelligence take center stage in their dossiers in order to sex up the case for war. The whole war of words by the British government against BBC over the semantics of their reportage distracted from that. Many people now suspect that Campbell may have feigned the outrage in order to distract attention from the story. (Whatever may be the case, you have to be impressed by Campbell as an operator!)
But if the case for WMD was completely manufactured and the relationship between iraq and Al Quaida never existed, we are bound to wonder why did the US and British governments decide to invade Iraq. At a simplistic level the answer is easy. If done right, it gives US a powerful military presence in the Middle East, a US friendly government in a country which has the second largest oil reserve in the world and allows them to alter the balance of power in the middle east. It also allowed the neoconservatives to play the fantasy game of bringing democracy to the middle east (I used to be a believer in that fiction, but looking at the chaos that the last few months of US occupation has created in Iraq, I see Beirut, not Japan.). I do think democratization of Iraq could have worked and it was possible to create in Iraq a role model for the entire Middle East. But Bush’s foreign policy team has neither the depth or maturity nor the cultural sensitivity to accomplish that. It was a right war, but wrong warriors. It was also a wrong call on my part.
At a deeper level, many people suspect that US did this in order to walk away from Saudi Arabia. There was a very persuasive story in FT a few days back. (I would try to look it up and quote from there). Commentators in Guardian also speculated about that.
The American people in the heartland, the people that this administration care about, don’t seem to care much about the innuendos and misrepresentations made in the case for war. And this government doesn’t care about international public opinion. But people obviously care about the deaths. They do care about the cost of waging this war. And the elections are coming.
Bush has a smart team of political advisers who would not let the daily trickle of deaths compromise his prospects for elections So whatever may had been the underlying reason for war, I now fear that in order to show a rosy picture back home and extricate itself before the 2004 election the US is going to continue to penny-pinch in Iraq and hand over the running of reconstruction and war to the private contractors of the kind that used run wars in West Africa. However, if the western world now washes its hands off Iraq, it would lead to its Beirutization, an exponential increase in religious fundamentalism, and a disaster that the future generations will pay for.
Mr. Timothy Noah posed a good question in Slate the other day. Why this lie?
It was known for months even to people like me, who don’t have anything to do with politics, that the British and US governments had exaggerated the WMD threat posed by Iraq in order to gain public support for war. Most people (including me) did not feel badly about it since we all agreed that Saddam was a thug and deserves to the thrown to the dustbin of history. But even those who did not think that the war was right, did not feel they could question the underlying ussumptions of war because a. the war was a popular idea b. The president had stratospheric ‘ratings’ and c. they could not prove that the WMD allegations were wrong.
But now that the body bags are trickling back home and sheer deprivation that the Iraqis are going through is evident to at least the media savvy, the atmosphere is slightly different. People can also afford to be more critical now because of the following chain of events:
-The fact that Joseph Wilson IV decided to open his mouth, gave an opening to the sceptics.
- The situation in Iraq has emboldened the press to follow through. Through the almost daily coverage by David Sanger of New York Times and Walter Pincus & Dana Milbank of Washington Post (who Bush snubbed in a press conference a few months back), political America is slowly reconstructing what happened behind the curtains.
- The uncharacteristic fumbling of White House compounded this. It became blatantly evident even to last day of Ari Fleisher in White House that there is serious bullshitting going on (Both TPM and Milbank had fun with it). A friend of mine from college once told me that if you wanna lie, you really gotta stick to your script. You can’t keep changing it. It is the rapid changing story line that caught every one’s attention.
-Lastly, it matters that the administration has completely pissed off the spooks. CIA leaked like there is no tomorrow. It really depends on the contrite one and his gang how long does the story last.
Meanwhile, it is feeling more and more like a John le Caree novel.. There seems to a war on against Wilson who set the ball rolling. If this story is correct, then the vendetta has already killed his wife’s career. In a rather hilarious turn of events, the ABC news reporter who reported the troop’s disaffection on TV was outed as not only gay, but also Canadian in Drudge report, apparently at the instigation of White House officials! (I don’t think any army will like to see its troops to vent in front of television cameras, but killing the messenger seems rather crude even for this administration.)
Across the ocean, Dr. David Kelly, one of the sources for Andrew Gillian’s story on BBC seem to have committed suicide after his grilling in parliament. The ministry of defense there fed him to wolves was hoping to provoke BBC into revealing their source. I felt sick as I read this. No one, neither the British government, nor the BBC comes out smelling of roses.
In Capital Influx Elizabeth Spiers quoted a funny,
"You know, I'm really disappointed in our military. I can't believe we haven't managed to plant weapons of mass destruction in Iraq yet. We were so good about planting shit [weapons caches, drugs] in Latin America in the 70s... I think I've lost my faith in the military industrial complex."
Update: Excellent backgrounder on why this is important in TPM.
I don’t intend to write regularly, or at great length about Iraq. I also suspect that only by 2008 would US may debate more earnestly and objectively about this particular misadventure. For now, I just plan to jot down from time to time, my impressions of what has been catching my interest.
I have been following the unfolding ‘Who is Salam Pax?’ story a tad obsessively. Many may had already read the Guardian news story which finally identified Salam Pax as a 29-year-old Iraqi architect. Incidentally, he is also writing a fortnightly column
in The Guardian.
Peter Mass was one of the Western journalists working in Iraq who was getting requests to look up Salam Pax while he was there. When he got back to the States and got down to actually reading up Salam’s weblog, he realized that Salam Pax has also been working as an interpreter for foreign journalists in Iraq. He thought it funny that both Salam Pax and him have been moving around in the same circles. He read further and it slowly dawned on him that Salam Pax has been his own interpreter in Iraq! ( Story here).
There is some conservative anger directed at Salam largely because he is being equally dismissive of the new American administration as he has been of Saddam’s. I wonder when would people figure out, that from an every day life perspective, food, safety and basic utilities are at least as important as that elusive ‘thingy’ called ‘freedom’.
Salam Pax caught the imagination of people here largely because he is the only Iraqi commoner with a Western mind, writing on the net in an interesting way. The Iraq debate on the weblog space has largely been about Western men arguing with each other about the morality and/or logistics of intervention in Iraq. There are very few genuine Iraqi voices at the fray. Those that are there are so clothed in religiosity and / or fundamentalism of some hue or other that people elsewhere can’t relate to them. Salam Pax represents is the kind of people America wanted to liberate. So his enthusiasm for the intervention gave emotional vindication to the conservatives. Now that he is turning bitter about the occupation, those folks are feeling betrayed.
The other interesting thing to watch has been the constant leaks from the intelligence agencies on both sides of the Atlantic. The most palatable explanation of the leaks coming out of UK and USA is that the US and British administrations grossly exaggerated the risks of WMD from Saddam. Guradian has a very good summary of the story so far. Timothy Gorton Ash in an interesting essay said that 'distorted intelligence on Iraq is part of an Orwellian world of fabricated reality'.
The question that conservatives are posing is, do we care? Considering the regular discovery mass graves in Iraq, of children buried alive, of men killed at gunpoints, I don’t think anyone disputes that the world is well rid of Saddam. It does leave a very bitter taste in mouth though, that the US and British administrations deliberately mislead, or at best grossly exaggerated, the threats posed by Saddam’s Iraq. That by itself would not have mattered much if the US government seemed genuinely committed to Iraq. Where I come from, I have very low expectations from politicians. Disinformation or lies by this administration, whatever you may choose to call it, does not shock me greatly any more.
To me, the more important question has always been, would this government make enough of a commitment, to create in Iraq, a just, humane and prosperous society. Most liberals have always felt that this administration does not have the patience and inclination for nation building. And I must admit that the post war management of Iraq is so incredibly badly handled that you have to agree. There is only a very small window that you get when you have so much good will that you can make magic happen. I suspect that window of opportunity is running out in Iraq and the air of empire building rather than nation building has slowly been pervading the airwaves.
Let me wrap up with some good news about the looted treasures from the Iraqi museum.
Dr. Delong has both a serious explanation and a not so serious explanation of why Bush administration treasury secrataries tend to be accident prone. (times story here).
Delong has had some terrific posts in the last few weeks. I am yet to digest most of them. Take a look.
Update: NYT editorial on the subject.
William Pfaff has a succint summary of the enduring influence of Leo Strauss on American conservative movement in America. Scary stuff presented quite well.
Salam Pax's 'Where is Raed' weblog is now UPDATED. I, and most people who maintain weblogs and know of Salam Pax, gave up on this guy as dead. Well, he appears to have survived the Iraq war!
Today, among other things, 7000 years of cultural history in Iraq got looted.
As the looting and the killing and the burning continues, crowds in Baghdad ransacked a mental hospital for 36 hours. Two patients unable to swallow water without assistance died of thirst. Four women patients were raped.
Volunteers are dumping rotting, unclaimed corpses into mass graves. (via Electrolyte which has a good thread on it)
By all available indications, the water supply and the medical situation in Iraq is beyond desperate.
The pols running the war, laughed General Shinseki out of court when he suggested in his senate deposition that hundreds of thousands of troops will be needed to keep peace in Iraq. Gen. Shinseki of course ran the war in Bosnia. He looks more and more prescient every day. Now the common men are paying in blood for the arrogance of politicians.
Under the Hague treaty protecting the museum was a coalition responsibility. This is specially inexplicable since the marines are protecting the oil ministry in the same city. How many does it take to protect a museum? I hate to sound sarcastic. But this is probably a good time for the art dealers to take up the lobbying to change Iraq's export laws again.
I guess there is also something sick about feeling so distressed about the looting of a museum when so many people are dieing and getting maimed every day.
Update: Mefi has a thread going on about the looting in Baghdad.
Dan Rhodes, the 'retired writer' in an interview in The Telegraph:
Update: Sounds like he is having second thoughts about the retirement thing. (Via Bookslut)
Neal Pollack talks about the insanity of war:
Lieutenant Colonel Tim Collins of the British Army, on March 20th, in a speech to his troops, that is worth remembering today:
You will be embarrassed by their hospitality even though they have nothing. Don't treat them as refugees for they are in their own country. Their children will be poor, in years to come they will know that the light of liberation in their lives was brought by you.
If there are casualties of war then remember that when they woke up and got dressed in the morning they did not plan to die this day.
Allow them dignity in death. Bury them properly and mark their graves. .....
You will be shunned unless your conduct is of the highest for your deeds will follow you down through history. We will bring shame on neither our uniform or our nation."
(the last two links via Electrolyte)
Finally, it is 'over'. I don't know what the future holds for Iraq, for middle east, for the greater world. Unless US spectacularly messes up, they should be able to build big time on the happiness of the people on the streets of Baghdad today. As one my colleagues said, the economy should get a boost from all the 'reconstruction' efforts. Oil prices should come down.
I am also very glad that someone dear to us whom the corps was sending to Kuwait next week, no longer needs to go there. War is hell not only on the civilians on the war zone and the soldiers, it is psychological hell for the old parents, wives, lovers watching from far away.
But today, from one rather jaded Asian in another corner of the world, let me just offer my good wishes to the people of Iraq.
I hope the US administration doesn't screw up, even though deep in my heart I know that history of US intervention in Asia (except in Japan) is a history of screw ups. I worry that the long term impact of this US intervention in Iraq may be disastrous for USA, middle east, the economy, the fragile world peace (non US western media shares the unease). But as I indicated in my previous posts, no one deserves Saddam. I dont have a great deal of faith in this administration's foreign policy or its humanity. But who knows, something good may actually come out of it.
Meanwhile, in Afghanistan ....